Table 2 Probability estimates
Probability | Base value (%) | Range (%) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
30 day mortality | 0.14 | 0.02–1.0 | 14 |
Fatal opioid overdose | 0.001 | 0–0.002 | 15 |
Postoperative ileus without opioids | 0.17 | 0–0.34 | 16 |
Postoperative ileus with opioids | 1.43 | 0.43–2.43 | 16 |
Aspiration with ileus | 5 | 0–10 | Assumed |
Aspiration without ileus | 1 | 0–2 | Assumed |
Death by aspiration | 1 | 0–2 | Assumed |
Bowel perforation with ileus | 0.1 | 0–0.2 | Assumed |
Death from bowel perforation | 25 | 10–40 | 9 |
Composite complication | 9 | 5–12 | 6, 13 |
Opioid use without TAP block | 95 | 90–100 | Assumed |
Fractional opioid difference with TAP | 50 | 100–30 | 4 |
Same-day discharge (SDD), TAP | 90 | 80–99 | 4 |
Fractional SDD difference, no TAP | 78 | 90–50 | 19, 21 |
Readmission after SDD, TAP | 2.5 | 1–5 | 19 |
Readmission after SDD, no TAP | 2.5 | 1–5 | 19 |
Readmission after admission, TAP | 4.0 | 1–5 | 19 |
Readmission after admission, no TAP | 4.0 | 1–5 | 19 |
TAP procedure complication | 0.1 | 0–0.2 | 11 |
Bupivacaine adverse event | 1.5 | 0–3 | 11 |
Death by bupivacaine adverse events | 0.1 | 0–0.2 | Assumed |